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Stop guessing.Start knowing.

Data-driven captain picks and clean sheet predictions. Find the signal. Leave the pack.

Probability-based rankings
Updated 4x daily
Template vs differential analysis
92%
Top 10 captain accuracy
+2.3
Avg pts vs. popular pick
4x
Daily odds updates
MW1+
Predictions tracked

Every FPL site has xG. We have the full picture.

Our models combine multiple data sources to capture what xG misses: team news, tactical changes, and rotation risks.

Odds-Powered Captain Picks

We aggregate anytime scorer odds from 13 professional bookmakers to rank every FPL captain option by true goal probability — not xG, not vibes.

Sharp Money Alerts

When professional bettors back a player, odds shorten — often before team news goes public. We track these movements 4x daily so you see it first.

Template vs Differential

Is that low-owned punt actually more likely to score than the safe pick? We quantify it — probability and ownership combined into one differential score.

How It Works

We use probability models to give you the edge that gut feelings can't provide.

Collect Data

We aggregate goal probability data from multiple professional sources

Calculate Probability

Extract true goal and clean sheet probabilities for every player

Apply Our Models

Factor in cohesion scores, news buzz, and FPL position bonuses

Rank for FPL

Output FPL-optimized rankings with template and differential picks

Live Data

This Week's Top Captain Picks

MW29 — ranked by odds-implied goal probability from 13 professional bookmakers

Top Pick
#1
Mohamed Salah
LiverpoolLiverpool (A) vs Wolves
41%
Goal probability
14% owned
DIFFERENTIAL
#2
Hugo Ekitiké
LiverpoolLiverpool (A) vs Wolves
50%
Goal probability
29% owned
#3
Antoine Semenyo
Manchester CityManchester City (H) vs Nottingham
40%
Goal probability
54% owned
See Full Rankings

Plus clean sheet predictions, transfer signals, and odds movement tracking

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